from Vegas Sports Masters website (Nick Bogdanovich):

WHAT THE SHARPS ARE THINKING ABOUT WEEK FOUR IN THE NFL

GREEN BAY AT MINNESOTA: This is going to be one popular betting attraction! The public loves betting Monday Night games. The public loves betting on Brett Favre. Brett Favre just had a big highlight last Sunday that's getting replayed over and over again. And, now, he's facing his former team in what is arguably one of the showcase games of ALL TIME in terms of the soap opera elements. Imagine Joe Montana playing for Kansas City against San Francisco in A BIG...

My buddy has this parlay pending..

Parlay (4 Teams)09/29/09 02:05 ETbet 5.50 to win 51.90 Result: Pending
Athletics(Oakland) Cahill 4
Mariners(Seattle) Hernandez 6 09/29/09(22:10 ET)
Mariners(Seattle) -200
GaTech 42
MississippiSt 31 10/03/09(19:30 ET)
GaTech -4.5
Giants(NewYork) 27
Chiefs(KansasCity) 16 10/04/09(13:05 ET)
Giants(NewYork) -9
Packers(GreenBay)
Vikings(Minnesota) 10/05/09(20:35 ET)
Vikings(Minnesota) -3.5

he wants to know the best # to hedge it... I am thinking around a $20 bet to guarentee around $40..

whatcha think?

and I know there is a calculator on the site (going there now), but I am not sure how to input a Parlay.. lol

Robust

Bills/Pats:

I cannot for the life of me lay down up to 13 points on an unproven Pats team in week one of the NFL..

and conversely, I cannot take up to 13 points on a bad bills team in week one. I need time to see them play and bet for or against them in future weeks.

what I do love is the total. The public is predicting a blowout... at 47.5, if the bills suck as most say, what happens if they don't score? do the patriots get 50+ by themselves? ...

Started great with Tenn +6.5 and Under 35. Lets see if I can make a little more $$.

only the BOLD picks are plays. All 1 unit ($5) unless stated otherwise.

Atlanta -4
Bal -13 (waiting for a 12.5 before committing)
Phi -2.5
Den +4.5
Min -3.5
NYJets +4 (considering ML +185)
NYJets/Hou Over 43.5 - 3 Units
Jax +7
Det/NO U49
Dallas -4.5 - 3 Units
SF +6 (waiting for 7, 5 dimes has it now, but no account)
Was/NYG Over 37
Sea/St Louis Under 40.5
GB -4
Chi/GB Under 46.5

Considering this 3-team teaser (6 pt)
Phi +3.5
Sea -2
NYG -.5
thoughts?

will post changes (if any) before kickoff times.. Bal is a PLAY even...

from Nick Bogdanovich's Article: WHAT THE SHARPS ARE THINKING ABOUT WEEK ONE OF THE NFL

[quote]THURSDAY
TENNESSEE AT PITTSBURGH: Sharps generally like going against the defending Super Bowl champions early in the season, though it hasn't worked out so great for them the last few seasons. Most had success with this over long betting careers...so they're looking for ways to take Tennessee here. Most I know are hoping the squares bet Pittsburgh on game day so they can get the highest possible number with the dog. If you're new to these articles...be aware that most sharps emphasize underdogs. And, if they...[/quote]

I have been on a losing streak so I stopped for a couple of days and thinking about hitting it hard tommorrow.  But unfortunately, my confidence is shot.  My best plays turn out to be the biggest losers..  and my leans win if I don't bet them!  The gods are angry my friend!  I am hoping it is just not with me!

I will keep at it, just like any other degenerate and hope for a quick turnaround.  For now, fade away and make yourself some $$.  Check the spreadsheet by 5pm central daily.

Good luck with ALL your wagers!

Robust

 

 

I finally got around to using the proivided spreadsheet.  I backfilled all my plays from about a week ago.  They are all posted in the forums for all to verify.  I hope to keep the spreadsheet updated as I go so I won't need to do that again.  On a side note, the picks really need to be editable.  I forgot to put the date on about half the picks and now I can't edit.  grrr..

anyway, good luck to everyone!

Robust